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The apparent calm on the stock markets is deceptive. Although the global stock market recorded a slight increase in February, the US stock market was once again downgraded relative to Europe and emerging markets. At the same time, the rotation away from highly valued technology stocks toward cyclical value stocks and defensive sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples continued.

About a quarter of global economic growth of 2.3 percent in 2025 was driven by heavy investment in the expansion of AI infrastructure. As a result, AI served as a central pillar of an economy that was robust overall, but below its long-term average growth rate.

The year 2025 put the global economy to the test. Political tensions, new alliances and an environment of increasing uncertainty characterised the global situation. Although the economy showed stability overall, it was hardly noticeable in everyday life. It seems as if the economy is running on only one cylinder: everything appears to depend on the AI boom.