Our opinion
Shock ’n‘Roll
Economic developments are currently being shaped by two opposing forces. On the demand side, investments in infrastructure, defence, and AI data centres are driving momentum. On the supply side, demographic change, deglobalization, and the energy price shock are acting as constraints. This combination is inflationary — while the growth outlook remains uncertain.
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Market commentary 2nd quarter 2026
The war in Iran is now in its fourth week. Despite initial, tentative signs of de-escalation, the conflict persists and is likely to have significant geopolitical and economic consequences. We recommend investing selectively in structural growth themes that are gaining additional momentum as a result of the conflict.
„Sell-off“ in the technology sector supports cyclical market segments
The apparent calm on the stock markets is deceptive. Although the global stock market recorded a slight increase in February, the US stock market was once again downgraded relative to Europe and emerging markets. At the same time, the rotation away from highly valued technology stocks toward cyclical value stocks and defensive sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples continued.
After the AI Boom: Broadening the portfolio
About a quarter of global economic growth of 2.3 percent in 2025 was driven by heavy investment in the expansion of AI infrastructure. As a result, AI served as a central pillar of an economy that was robust overall, but below its long-term average growth rate.
AI boom: Is the economy running on only one cylinder?
The year 2025 put the global economy to the test. Political tensions, new alliances and an environment of increasing uncertainty characterised the global situation. Although the economy showed stability overall, it was hardly noticeable in everyday life. It seems as if the economy is running on only one cylinder: everything appears to depend on the AI boom.
Market commentary 1st quarter 2026
Growth prospects for 2026 remain below average, but are robust overall. The stock markets are caught between AI-driven growth in the US, fiscal expansion in Europe, and structural growth in Asia, on the one hand, and ongoing trade conflicts and geopolitical risks, on the other.
A look at the investment year 2026
Die Privatbankiers von Reichmuth & Co geben Einblick in ihre Prognosen und Anlagestrategien. Dabei zeigt sich eine Rückbesinnung auf Schweizer Bodenständigkeit.
Raw materials: “Even things that don’t shine can be gold”
Gold is shining brighter than ever in 2025: its price in US dollars has risen by around 60 percent since the beginning of the year, driven by strong central bank purchases, geopolitical uncertainty, and a certain loss of confidence in the US dollar. Investors are seeking stability and gold remains the store of value of choice.
Reichmuth & Co expects the Swiss franc to remain strong
Reichmuth & Co Privatbankiers continues to focus on real assets and Switzerland as an anchor of stability amid ongoing global uncertainty. This applies to domestic assets, but is also a sensible option for investors from abroad.
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